Tuesday, January 22, 2008
Monday, January 14, 2008
Friday, January 11, 2008
More interesting is the economic performance under changed economic conditions after adopting euro. Although some expect the growth to decline as a result due to Maastricht fiscal ceiling, fiscal discipline is definitely not the only factor influencing the expected outcome. Taking into account that currency-switching is a very specific situation, one should not omit the long-term effects of euro on economic growth.
In my humble opinion, policy makers should have at hand a strategy for further development in form of an industrial policy vision. For this, measurements of the allocation efficiency of public funds for FDI stimuli should be considered. That is to say, that FDI in the automotive industry might have already exploited the existing economies of scale opportunities, which means that a further contribution of this sector to economic growth may not be so robust anymore. For a small country, in addition, a fast adjustment in competitiveness seems to be the key priority of economic policy. Without a scientific guidance in economic policy-making, it is hard to follow optimal solutions, unbiased by ideological disputes.
Friday, January 4, 2008
Nominal expectations can be as important as real ones for possible euro-related real price changes and resource misallocations. I thus bring numbers for the average monthly gross wage in Slovakia at the break of 2009, when the country expects to convert to euro. The average wage, seasonally adjusted, will be 680-690 eur. The figure is to be used in the context of the Slovak economy only, since comparing gross wages across Central-European economies is rather complicated, as I demonstrated before. The expected conversion rate between koruna and euro used in this calculation is 32.63 SKK/EUR (taken from the survey on assessments of Slovakia meeting the Maastricht criteria.